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房地产泡沫产生的影响及其对策
摘要:中国这几年房价连续上涨,租金却基本不变,说明房价上涨多为非理性。大量资金为求高利润涌入市场,使房地产市场泡沫化程度加深。地方政府助推,国内外与房地产泡沫互相促进,吸引潜在购房者蜂拥追捧,成就了现今的高房价,开发商的高利润以及经济的高增长,这种发展模式是非常危险的。我国房地产价格进入快速上升轨道已有五六年,期间与宏观经济彼此推动,又受到奥运会、世博会的影响。先是北京、上海等大城市,之后是二三线城市房价持续上涨。房价的非理性上涨明显表现出泡沫特征,且愈演愈烈。地产泡沫一旦形成,房地产价格的过快上升很容易产生虚假需求信息,影响开发者和消费者的预期,而且虚假需求造成的过度供给,又会形成新的房产积压,给整个国民经济带来大而长期的负面影响。资产的价格会有泡沫,而泡沫必定是会崩溃的,泡沫存在概率越小,需要用来补偿泡沫破裂损失的预期收益就越大。而今,奥运会等的促涨作用已近强弩之末,宏观调控如影随形,房地产价格还能狂涨多久?本文就公众关注的房地产泡沫问题作一个粗浅探讨。
关键词:地产市场泡沫化,房地产开发,国民经济,虚假需求,对策

Real estate bubble and the impact of countermeasures Abstract : This continuous rise in prices in recent years, the rent is basically unchanged, Note prices rise more as irrational. Substantial capital for the influx of high-profit market, the real estate market bubble of the deepening. Boost local governments, domestic and foreign real estate bubble and promote each other to attract potential buyers swarmed courted, achievement of the current high prices, and the developers of high profits and high economic growth, the development model is very dangerous. China's property prices rose rapidly into orbit has been 56, during macroeconomic promote each other, they are subject to the Olympics, Expo will be affected. First, Beijing, Shanghai and other major cities, followed SECOND AND THIRD LINE urban housing prices continued to rise. The irrational prices rose show that the bubble characteristics, and growing. Once the real estate bubble formation, real estate prices soaring easily generate false demand information, and the impact on the development of consumer expectations, but demand has caused the excessive supply, will form a new real estate backlog for the entire national economy by large and long-term negative impact. Asset price bubble there, and the bubble is bound to collapse, the smaller the probability of a bubble exists, need to compensate bubble burst in the expected revenue loss will be greater. Today, the Olympic Games to promote the role of rising nearly run out of steam, the macro-control haunting, it shot up real estate prices but also how long? In this paper, public concern for the real estate bubble a shallow study.
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第1个回答  2007-04-24
Real estate foam influence and its counterplan that produce
Summary:China this how many years the building price continuously soar, and the rental is however basic constant, elucidation the building price soar many for not reasonableness.The large quantity funds for begging high profit flow out into marketses, and make the real estate market foam 化 the degree deepen.The local government helps to push, domestic and international promote, draw on with real estate foam each other latent buy what building the 蜂拥 make track fored the 捧 , achievement the present's high building price, development the company's high profit and economy of high increase, this kind of development the mode is very dangerous.Our country the real estate price enter quickly rises to orbit already contain 5 6 years, period and macroscopic economy to push each other, again influence that suffer the Olympic game, a life time the 博 the meeting.Is a big city in Peking, Shanghai...etc. first, after is 2 3 line city building the price keep on soaring.Building price of not the reasonableness soar to obviously express out the foam characteristic, and more the 演 is more 烈 .Real estate foam once formation, the real estate price very and easily produce the deceitful need information over the quick rising, and affect the developer with expecting of consumer, and deceitful need excessiveness that result in supply, again become the new house property to put off, and bring to whole national economy big but long-term of negative influence.The property's price can have the foam, but the foam necessarily can collapse of, the foam exsits the 概 rate is more small, and need to be used to compensate foam break lose of expect the income more big.Now then, the 促 that Olympic game wait rise the function already near and powerless, the macroscopic 调控 is inseparable, can the real estate price still wildly rise how long?This text the real estate foam of the public concern the problem make a superficial study.
Key phrase:Real estate market foam 化 , real estate development, national economy, deceitful need, counterplan
第2个回答  2007-04-21
The real estate foam output influence and its counterplan
Summary:China the building price soars continuously this several years, but the rental is basic constant, explain the building price soars to have another for the non- reasonableness.In order to beg high profit to flow out into the market, a great deal of funds make the real estate market foam turn degree to deepen.The local government helps to push, domestic and international promote with the real estate foam each other, draw on latent buy the building to hug to make track for to hold, achieve present high building price, develop the high profit of the company and the high growth of the economy, this kind of development mode is very dangerous.Our country the real estate price enter fast ascension orbit already 56 years, the period and macro view economy each other push, and then under the influence of Olympic game,World Exposition.It is big city Cities, such as Peking and Shanghai...etc. first, is 23 line city building prices to soar continuously after.The building price non- reasonableness soars to express a foam characteristic obviously, and plays more more strong.The real estate foam once formation, the real estate price of over quick the ascension produces a deceitful need information very easily, the expectation of the influence developer and consumer, and the deceitful need result in of supply excessively, and then become new house property to put off, bring the whole national economy greatly but long-term negative influence.The price of the property will have a foam, but the foam will collapse necessarily, the foam existence all the rate is more small, needing to be use to compensate a foam to break loss of expectation income more big.Now then, the Olympic game wait of the 促 rise a function already a near spent force, the macro view adjust to control inseparable, the real estate price can also rise wildly how long?This text makes a superficial study for the real estate foam problem of[with] public concern.
Keyword:The real estate market foam turn, the real estate development, national economy, deceitful need, counterplan本回答被网友采纳
第3个回答  2007-04-21
The real estate froth produces influence and its countermeasure.
Abstract: The Chinese these years house price continuously rises, therent basic is actually invariable, showed the house price rises muchfor the non- rationality. The massive funds for ask the high profit towell up into the market, makes the real estate market froth degree todeepen. The local authority boosts, domestic and foreign mutuallypromotes with the real estate froth, the attraction potentialhome-buyer swarms pursues holds, the achievement nowadays high houseprice, the developer high profit as well as the economical highgrowth, this kind of development pattern is extremely dangerous. Ourcountry real estate price enters the fast rise orbit already has 56years, period and the macroscopic economical each other impetus, alsoreceives the Olympic Games, the World Expo the influence. First is Beijing,Shanghai and so on the big city, is afterwards 23 cities house pricescontinues to rise. The house price non- rational rise obviouslydisplays the froth characteristic, also is increasingly fierce. Thereal estate froth once forms, the real estate price excessivelyquickly rise is very easy to have the false demand information,affects the development and the consumer anticipated, moreover thefalse demand creates excessively supplies, also can form the new realestate backlog, brings tremendous and the long-term negative influencefor the entire national economy. The property price can have thefroth, but the froth surely is can collapse, froth existenceprobability smaller, needs to use for to compensate the froth to burstthe loss anticipated income to be bigger. At the present, the OlympicGames and so on press to rise the function already near spent force,macroeconomic regulation and control closely associated, how long canthe real estate price also crazily rise? This article makes a shallowdiscussion on the public attention real estate froth question.

Key word: Real estate market froth, propertydevelopment, national economy, false demand, countermeasure